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Table 3 Performance metrics for benchmarks (BM) and models (mean and 95% confidence interval)

From: Students’ complex trajectories: exploring degree change and time to degree

Benchmark/Algorithm

RMSE

MAE

\(R^2\)

MAPE

BM Prog. duration

1.139

0.666

− 0.003

0.158

BM Prog. median TTD

1.169

0.681

0.017

0.168

DT

0.924 (0.824, 1.024)

0.667 (0.600, 0.726)

0.617 (0.558, 0.687)

0.155 (0.141, 0.172)

RF

0.863 (0.765, 0.963)

0.609 (0.542, 0.676)

0.666 (0.610, 0.727)

0.141 (0.125, 0.158)

SVM

0.898 (0.799, 0.999)

0.619 (0.555, 0.688)

0.638 (0.565, 0.707)

0.144 (0.126, 0.163)

MLP

0.930 (0.828, 1.034)

0.663 (0.605, 0.721)

0.612 (0.538, 0.682)

0.156 (0.140, 0.175)